Without further adieu let’s get into it:

1. Guard Play is at an All Time High

From Kemba Walker, to John Wall, to Damien Lillard, Russell Westbrook, etc. the future of the NBA is in the back court. In the future having just one of these guys isn’t going to be enough. Teams like the Clippers have tandems of All Star Caliber guards they can play together. Phoenix, who missed the playoffs, exceeded expectations behind the combination of Goran Dragic and Eric Bledsoe.

Teams will be salivating to get their hands on Andrew Wiggins for this reason. Wiggins struggled a bit during the beginning of the season but got on his game towards the stretch. Placing Wiggins on a team with maybe a… Trey Burke or Victor Oladipo suddenly makes things interesting.

Though I believe Oklahoma City will win this NBA Championship, I have no doubt they traded away certain long term dominance when they parted with James Harden. The days of teams playing with 3 defensive guys and two scorers is all but done. Looking at you, Grizzlies.

2. There is Still a Premium on Big Men Who Can Score

Speaking of the Grizzlies, there will always be a premium on the big guys. Whether just or not, guys like Marc Gasol, big Al Jefferson, and Marcin Gortat make eight figure salaries.

We’ve seen in 2009 what happens if you place a few shooters around a great big man. The Orlando Magic made the NBA finals that year with average talent around Dwight Howard. Those type of teams could still dominate today with the lack of GREAT centers in the NBA.

Teams love the potential of Joel Embiid, but the “smart money” is on the left handed post player, Julius Randle. Randle will produce immediately for a young struggling club. It may be years before Embiid becomes a dominant offensive player professionally.

3. The Talent Gap is Closed

This is a theory I began to develop during the NCAA tournament. I noticed that every game was extremely close, much more competitive than I could ever remember. In 2014 when teams like Mercer beat the Duke’s of the world it no longer feels like an upset. With the culture of AAU ball and summer leagues the average players are much closer in talent level than ever.

In the league we are seeing Atlanta put the hyped Indiana Pacers on alert with a game 1 win AT Indy. The NBA’s median talent level is not as wide as you think. The reason Kobe and Lebron are Kobe and Lebron is because they are THAT MUCH BETTER than everyone else.

Draft wise this means teams should hold off on drafting known names from big schools. Guys like the Harrison twins from Kentucky, Duke’s Rodney Hood, etc. are not worth top lottery picks when you can get an equally talented player such as OSU’s Marcus Smart or Dario Saric with a pick in the teens. If a team comes calling with a trade full of future picks to overdraft a Harrison twin or comparable, then by all means teams should trade out and rob them blind.

Guys like Andrew Wiggins (Kansas), Jabari Parker (Duke), and Julius Randle (Kentucky) way exceeded expectations after their first college games. However where are the NBA comparisons? Where are the scouting reports?

I got you covered:

Andrew Wiggins, Guard, Kansas
What he does well: Explodes towards the hoop with athleticism. Elite jumper and a smooth scorer. Can also handle the rock under pressure.

What he needs work on: Needs to work on strength. Will get pushed around in the NBA due to slight frame. Big guards like Chauncey Billups will post him up deep in the paint.

Andrew Wiggins Best Case NBA Comparison: Kobe Bryant, Guard, Lakers
Andrew Wiggins Worst Case NBA Comparison: Desmond Mason, Guard, Bucks/Sonics (Retired)

Jabari Parker, Forward, Duke
What he does well: Smooth scorer. Gets to the rim using his length. Smooth jumper from 20 feet out. Willing rebounder.

What he needs work on: Needs to work on passing. Can he make the right pass out of the double team?

Jabari Parker Best Case NBA Comparison: Kevin Durant, Forwawrd, Thunder
Jabari Parker Worst Case NBA Comparison: Danny Manning, Forward, Suns (Retired)

Julius Randle, Forward, Kentucky
What he does well: NBA size. Plays deep in the post. Wants to play with his back to the basket. Doesn’t settle for jumpers, mauls his way to the paint.

What he needs work on: Needs to work on motor. Can he stay motivated if he’s not getting his touches?

Julius Randle Best Case NBA Comparison: Zach Randolph, Forward, Grizzlies
Julius Randle Worst Case NBA Comparison: Anthony Bennett, Forward, Cavailers